Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.678017 1.746754 1.817197 1.894924 1.978444 2.065669 2.163878
2025-12-14 1.501613 1.595301 1.694727 1.808600 1.936040 2.075015 2.239056
2025-12-21 1.405391 1.518671 1.642492 1.788976 1.958999 2.151984 2.390340
2025-12-28 1.344169 1.474187 1.620052 1.797741 2.011082 2.262689 2.587737
2026-01-04 1.270826 1.409708 1.568700 1.766929 2.011557 2.309419 2.709408
2026-01-11 1.225963 1.374643 1.548158 1.769422 2.049996 2.402870 2.896300
2026-01-18 1.193620 1.351759 1.539657 1.784435 2.103103 2.516967 3.120152
2026-01-25 1.152124 1.315074 1.511478 1.771797 2.118117 2.580222 3.278327
2026-02-01 1.108622 1.273548 1.474677 1.745100 2.111476 2.611797 3.391858
2026-02-08 1.057293 1.220016 1.420092 1.691834 2.064824 2.582810 3.409503
2026-02-15 1.022333 1.185612 1.388239 1.666634 2.054524 2.603860 3.505269
2026-02-22 0.988354 1.151129 1.354738 1.637281 2.036131 2.610871 3.577894
2026-03-01 0.954858 1.117790 1.323535 1.612475 2.026894 2.636967 3.696331
2026-03-08 0.917856 1.078932 1.283910 1.574625 1.997141 2.630463 3.760545
2026-03-15 0.898078 1.061804 1.272422 1.575331 2.023986 2.714386 3.997362
2026-03-22 0.885491 1.053557 1.272345 1.591914 2.075461 2.842379 4.338026
2026-03-29 0.860671 1.028184 1.247933 1.572155 2.069697 2.874986 4.498792
2026-04-05 0.846145 1.016009 1.241014 1.577292 2.102803 2.976338 4.819107
2026-04-12 0.835583 1.008715 1.240407 1.591449 2.150893 3.108519 5.235369
2026-04-19 0.817972 0.991211 1.224737 1.582052 2.159668 3.170105 5.504374
2026-04-26 0.797497 0.969168 1.201856 1.560562 2.146803 3.189811 5.676319
2026-05-03 0.771000 0.938175 1.165332 1.516697 2.093813 3.128594 5.632023
2026-05-10 0.752894 0.918363 1.144254 1.495906 2.078984 3.140127 5.781803